Poland Listed in $131 Billion US F-15 Deal Amid Speculation

"The Polish Armed Forces do not plan to acquire F-15EX aircraft," the Polish Ministry of National Defence told Defence24.

U.S. Department of War IDIQ contract: scope, ceiling, and named FMS customers

On Monday the U.S. Department of War announced an indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity (IDIQ) contract awarded to Boeing for the "F-15 Eagle Crest" program with a ceiling value of $131.23 billion. The agreement covers production, systems integration, modernization, upgrades, retrofits, sustainment and the establishment of depot-level maintenance capabilities for F-15 aircraft. Work is expected to continue through August 2037, with orders initially permitted through August 2031 and an option to extend that period to 2036.

The contract is a framework: an IDIQ establishes a mechanism through which orders can be placed later and does not itself constitute an aircraft purchase by every country named within it. The Pentagon specifically lists Japan, Israel, Saudi Arabia, South Korea, Singapore, Indonesia, and Poland among the Foreign Military Sales (FMS) customers covered by the contract.

Poland’s official position and the Apache precedent

Despite Poland’s inclusion in the Pentagon list, the Ministry of National Defence told Defence24 that Warsaw “do not[sic] plan to acquire F-15EX aircraft” and that inclusion in the U.S. framework does not mean a decision has been made or that a procurement process has begun. Boeing also told aviation desk editor Gareth Jennings that Poland has not yet made a decision about the F-15EX.

That denial echoes a precedent Jennings highlighted: in 2017 the U.S. Department of Defense denied that Poland had selected the AH-64 after naming it in a similar contract for sensors. Poland subsequently became the largest international customer for the Apache, buying 96 AH-64E Apache Guardian attack helicopters. The Apache acquisition followed a similar path in which inclusion on a U.S. contractual vehicle preceded a formal purchase decision.

Boeing’s promotion and Polish contacts with F-15EX

Boeing has actively promoted the F-15EX to Warsaw, and Boeing Poland has identified the country as a potential customer, although Boeing Poland never formally announced a plan to order the aircraft. Polish military officials have visited Boeing’s U.S. facilities; in 2025 then-Inspector of the Polish Air Force Gen. Ireneusz Nowak flew an F-15EX at Boeing’s facilities. Boeing and Polish engagement have featured in discussions about Warsaw’s prospective requirement for additional fourth-generation fighters that could complement its F-35 fleet.

Poland’s current procurement landscape

Warsaw is pursuing a broad, multi-domain modernization program. The source lists several confirmed or ongoing purchases and upgrades:

• 32 F-35As already ordered, with Polish officials confirming plans for another 32 F-35As;
• 48 FA-50 light combat aircraft;
• 180 K2 tanks;
• 250 M1A2 SEPv3 Abrams tanks;
• an upgrade program for its existing F-16 fleet;
• a significant order of 96 AH-64E Apache Guardian attack helicopters (the largest international customer purchase).

One of the first three Polish Air Force F-35 fighters entered service at the 32nd Tactical Air Base in Łask on June 12, 2026, underscoring Warsaw’s continuing investment in fifth-generation capability even as conversations around fourth-generation complements persist.

How Poland, Boeing, and the U.S. Department of War are likely to act

• Poland: Warsaw is publicly denying any current plan to acquire the F-15EX while continuing a major modernization program across air, land and rotary-wing forces. The Ministry’s statement frames its inclusion in the U.S. contract as a procedural possibility rather than an announced intent.
• Boeing: The company continues to promote the F-15EX and to engage with Polish officials. Boeing’s communications to journalists reiterate that Poland has not made a decision, keeping the commercial channel open under the new IDIQ framework.
• The U.S. Department of War / Pentagon: By naming potential FMS customers in a long-term IDIQ around the F-15 program, the U.S. has established a contractual vehicle that can facilitate future foreign purchases without committing those countries at the time of award. The listing of countries — including Poland and others — therefore signals availability rather than sales closure.

The facts in the record are straightforward: Poland appears in the Pentagon’s list of FMS customers under a large Boeing IDIQ, but Warsaw and Boeing both say no decision on F-15EX procurement has been taken. The Apache example shows how inclusion on a U.S. contractual vehicle can precede a later purchase, but it does not make such a trajectory inevitable. For now, the IDIQ creates an open option; whether Warsaw exercises it will depend on choices that have not yet been made.

Original story